Prop 410 Rebuttal: Facts and Claims Examined

Proposition 410 concerns Ordinance 2026-965, the Chino Valley ordinance that changed the zoning designation for approximately 390 acres associated with the Perkins Ranch project. The Town Council’s May 26, 2026 election resolution states that the November 3, 2026 General Election will ask qualified electors whether to approve or reject that ordinance. (Town of Chino Valley — Resolution 2026-1308)
The zoning change is part of a larger project involving a proposed privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses. The Town approved Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 for the airfield on approximately 390 acres. The Town’s resolution identifies the property as generally east of East Perkinsville Road and Forest Service Road 318A. (Town of Chino Valley — Resolution 2026-1303)
Because Proposition 410 concerns the zoning ordinance, it is important to distinguish between what the ordinance does, what the approved conditional-use permit allows, what the project applicant has proposed for later phases, and what remains subject to future approvals or requirements.
What Proposition 410 Actually Concerns
Proposition 410 is not itself an ordinance approving every future component of the Perkins Ranch development.
The ballot question concerns whether to approve or reject Ordinance 2026-965. That ordinance changed the zoning designation for approximately 390 acres from Single-Family Residential SR-2, with a two-acre minimum lot size, to Agricultural Residential AR-36, with a 36-acre minimum lot size.
The Town separately approved Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 for a privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses on the property.
These are related but separate governmental actions:
- Ordinance 2026-965: the zoning change that is the subject of Proposition 410.
- Conditional Use Permit 2025-05: the Town approval for the privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses.
- Future development: additional phases or uses may require compliance with applicable Town requirements and, where required, additional approvals.
The distinction matters when evaluating statements about what Proposition 410 does or does not authorize.
What Is Documented About the Proposed Project?
Town records document a proposed private airfield and associated uses on approximately 390 acres. Project information also describes a phased development that could include additional aviation, research, office, manufacturing and related uses.
The Town has stated that the initial phase under consideration involved the proposed airfield, while later phases would require consideration separately if presented for approval. (Town of Chino Valley — February 2026 News Flash)
The Perkins Ranch project page on this site provides additional background on the proposed phases, including the proposed runway, aircraft operations and later development.
Perkins Ranch Airfield and Proposition 410
The important distinction is between a documented proposal, an approved land use, and a future possibility. Statements about future development should identify which category they belong to rather than treating every proposed future use as already approved.
Related Proposition 410 Information
Prop 410: Potential Impacts on Chino Valley Residents
Potential effects involving aircraft activity, noise, traffic, water, wildlife and land use.
Prop 410 and Chino Valley Land Use
Details about the zoning change from SR-2 to AR-36.
Prop 410, Wildlife and Habitat
Regional wildlife and habitat information and the distinction between documented conditions and potential project impacts.
Prop 410: Referendum and Election Information
Background on the referendum and the November 2026 ballot question.
Perkins Ranch Airfield and Proposition 410
Detailed information about the proposed airfield and associated development.
For the project details behind the issues discussed here, see the Airport / Industrial Park Proposal.
- Bob Schacherer
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My last months on Chino Valley Town Council were spent trying to understand why the other council members were so intent with the Perkins airfield. I did not see this big boost to the town revenue nor could any staff or council member verify any revenue growth. All I saw in meetings were most council, staff and P&Z falling for Mr. Perkins vision of this airfield industrial center. I asked if a financial analysis or research on revenue from a lease had been done. No had been the answer to each question. I question all the job opportunities and how the town will profit from this vision, I was even told that speculation was a reason for votes. We now have a Prop 410 on the November ballot, keep Chino Valley rural a no vote means no airfield and we stay rural. I received a flyer informing me to vote yes for the airport or there could be thousands of homes. I didn’t see that a yes vote would bring revenue, job opportunities to the town. So the vision is only for the Perkins ranch. VOTE NO ON 410 Bob Schacherer, ex Chino Valley Town Councilman |
Context for Claims About Revenue, Jobs and the Project
Public statements about the Perkins Ranch project have included different expectations concerning economic development, employment, Town revenue and the project’s future scope. These statements should be distinguished from information contained in official Town records.
The Town’s official records establish the zoning change that is the subject of Proposition 410: Ordinance 2026-965 changed approximately 390 acres from Single-Family Residential, 2-acre minimum, to Agricultural Residential, 36-acre minimum. The Town’s election resolution identifies the November 3, 2026 ballot question as whether to approve or reject that ordinance. Town of Chino Valley — Ordinance 2026-965 | Town of Chino Valley — Resolution 2026-1308
Town records also establish that Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 was approved for a privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses on approximately 390 acres. The permit and zoning approval establish the governmental actions taken; they do not establish a guaranteed amount of future Town revenue, a guaranteed number of jobs or the ultimate economic performance of the larger proposed development.
The project materials describe multiple phases extending beyond the initial airfield. Those materials include proposed hangar, office, research and development, manufacturing, commercial and industrial uses. Proposed future development should be distinguished from development that has already received a particular Town approval.
How to Evaluate Economic Claims
When evaluating statements about the potential economic effects of Proposition 410, useful questions include:
- Is the statement describing an approved use or a future proposal?
- Is a projected number of jobs supported by a specific study or financial analysis?
- Is projected Town revenue based on a documented calculation?
- What assumptions are used to calculate future tax or other revenue?
- Does the projection concern the airfield alone or the larger multi-phase development?
- Has the Town formally adopted or independently verified the projection?
The absence of a documented projection does not establish that a project will produce no economic benefit. Conversely, a project proposal or promotional statement does not establish a guaranteed economic result.
The goal of this page is to identify what is documented, identify what is projected or claimed, and provide the underlying sources so readers can evaluate the information for themselves.
Related Proposition 410 Information
Perkins Ranch Airfield and Proposition 410
Project background, proposed phases and the relationship between the Perkins Ranch development and Proposition 410.
Prop 410 and Chino Valley Land Use
The zoning change and what Ordinance 2026-965 actually changed.
Prop 410: Potential Impacts on Chino Valley Residents
Potential community effects involving development, traffic, aircraft activity, water, wildlife and land use.
Prop 410, Wildlife and Habitat
Documented regional wildlife information and potential habitat considerations.
Prop 410: Referendum and Election Information
Information about the November 2026 ballot question.
What Does a Yes or No Vote on Proposition 410 Decide?
The November 3, 2026 ballot asks Chino Valley voters whether to approve or reject Ordinance 2026-965. The Town’s official election resolution identifies Proposition 410 specifically as that question. Town of Chino Valley — Call of Election, Resolution 2026-1308
Ordinance 2026-965 concerns the zoning designation for approximately 390 acres generally east of the intersection of East Perkinsville Road and Forest Service Road 318A. It changes the zoning from Single-Family Residential, 2-acre minimum (SR-2) to Agricultural Residential, 36-acre minimum (AR-36). Town of Chino Valley — 2026 Ordinances
The zoning ordinance and the conditional-use permit are related, but they are separate Town actions. The Town also approved Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 for a privately owned and operated airfield and associated aviation uses on the property.
What a YES Vote Means
A YES vote would approve Ordinance 2026-965, meaning the zoning change identified in that ordinance would remain in effect.
That does not mean that every possible future component of the Perkins Ranch project is automatically approved by the ballot. Individual development proposals remain subject to the Town’s applicable zoning, land-use, building and other requirements.
What a NO Vote Means
A NO vote would reject Ordinance 2026-965 rather than approve the zoning change presented to voters.
The legal consequences for the zoning and for other approvals connected to the property should be understood from the applicable ordinance, conditional-use permit and Arizona law rather than from campaign statements describing the result in broader terms.
Arizona law specifically provides a referendum process for municipal actions, including zoning actions. Arizona Revised Statutes §19-142
Why the Distinction Matters
Statements about Proposition 410 sometimes describe the ballot question as though voters are directly approving or rejecting every phase of a proposed airport and industrial development.
The official election record is narrower: voters are being asked whether to approve or reject Ordinance 2026-965.
The larger Perkins Ranch proposal includes an airfield and additional proposed development. Some of those elements may depend on separate approvals, requirements or future actions.
Readers should therefore distinguish among:
- The referendum: whether Ordinance 2026-965 is approved or rejected.
- The zoning change: SR-2 to AR-36 on approximately 390 acres.
- The existing conditional-use permit: CUP-2025-05 for the privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses.
- Future phases: additional proposed development that must be evaluated according to the applicable Town requirements.
This distinction allows voters to evaluate statements about Proposition 410 against the underlying public records rather than relying solely on either side’s characterization of what the vote will mean.
Related Proposition 410 Information
Perkins Ranch Airfield and Proposition 410
Detailed information about the proposed airfield and the larger Perkins Ranch development.
Prop 410 and Chino Valley Land Use
Explains the SR-2 to AR-36 zoning change.
Prop 410: Potential Impacts on Chino Valley Residents
Examines potential community effects associated with the proposed development.
Prop 410, Wildlife and Habitat
Regional wildlife and habitat information.
Prop 410: Referendum and Election Information
Official election information and the Proposition 410 ballot question.
What Happens to the Airfield if Ordinance 2026-965 Is Rejected?
The effect of rejecting Ordinance 2026-965 should be distinguished from broader statements about the entire Perkins Ranch proposal.
The Town’s official election resolution states that Proposition 410 asks voters whether to approve or reject Ordinance 2026-965. That ordinance changes approximately 390 acres from Single-Family Residential, 2-acre minimum (SR-2), to Agricultural Residential, 36-acre minimum (AR-36). Town of Chino Valley — Resolution 2026-1308
The Town separately approved Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 for a privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses. The resolution approving that permit contains an important condition: the conditional-use permit terminates if the AR-36 zoning is reverted to the prior SR-2 zoning under Ordinance 2026-965. Town of Chino Valley — Resolution 2026-1303
This means the relationship between the referendum and the airfield is documented in the Town’s own records. If the zoning associated with Ordinance 2026-965 is reverted as specified in the conditional-use permit, the permit’s termination condition becomes relevant.
That is more precise than simply stating that a vote on Proposition 410 directly approves or rejects every part of the proposed Perkins Ranch development.
What the Public Record Shows
The relevant Town actions are:
- Ordinance 2026-965: changes approximately 390 acres from SR-2 to AR-36 and is the ordinance placed before voters as Proposition 410.
- Conditional Use Permit 2025-05: authorizes a privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses, subject to its conditions.
- CUP condition: the conditional-use permit terminates if the AR-36 zoning reverts to the prior SR-2 zoning under Ordinance 2026-965.
- Future development: additional proposed phases remain a separate issue and should not automatically be treated as though every future component has already been approved.
Why This Distinction Matters
The Perkins Ranch project has been described as a multi-phase development that extends beyond the initial airfield. The project’s public description includes proposed aviation facilities as well as later research, office, manufacturing and industrial uses. Perkins Ranch Airfield and Proposition 410
The referendum itself, however, is formally a question concerning Ordinance 2026-965. The relationship between that ordinance and the approved airfield conditional-use permit is documented in the Town’s records.
Readers evaluating statements about Proposition 410 should therefore look at the actual ordinance, conditional-use permit and related Town records rather than relying solely on descriptions of what a YES or NO vote supposedly means.
Related Proposition 410 Information
Perkins Ranch Airfield and Proposition 410
Background on the airfield, the proposed phases and the relationship to Proposition 410.
Prop 410 and Chino Valley Land Use
Details about the SR-2 to AR-36 zoning change.
Prop 410: Potential Impacts on Chino Valley Residents
Potential community effects involving aircraft, noise, traffic, water, wildlife and land use.
Prop 410, Wildlife and Habitat
Regional wildlife and habitat information.
Prop 410: Referendum and Election Information
Official information about the Proposition 410 referendum.
Future Phases of the Perkins Ranch Project
The Perkins Ranch proposal has been described as a phased development rather than a single construction project.
In February 2026, the Town of Chino Valley stated that it was considering Phase 1 of the proposed ERAU airfield project. The Town stated that Phases 2 through 4 were planned for the future and that each would require separate Council approval when and if presented. The Town also stated that a proposed CAFMA fire station associated with Phase 2 was not under consideration at that time. Town of Chino Valley — Proposed ERAU Airfield Project & CAFMA Fire Station
This distinction is important when evaluating statements about the full scope of the Perkins Ranch proposal.
Phase 1
The initial phase involves the proposed privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses. The Town approved Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 for the airfield on approximately 390 acres, subject to specified conditions. Town of Chino Valley — Resolution 2026-1303
Later Phases
Town information describes Phases 2 through 4 as future phases rather than approvals already granted for construction. Each phase was identified as requiring separate Town Council consideration if and when it is brought forward.
This means that statements describing all four phases as though they were already approved should be distinguished from the Town’s documented approval status.
At the same time, the fact that later phases require additional approval does not mean that the proposed future development is irrelevant to the Proposition 410 discussion. The zoning change applies to approximately 390 acres, and the larger project description provides context for understanding why the zoning and land-use decision is being debated.
What Is Approved and What Is Proposed?
The public record supports these distinctions:
- Approved: Ordinance 2026-965 changed approximately 390 acres from SR-2 to AR-36 and is the ordinance placed before voters as Proposition 410.
- Approved: Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 was approved for a privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses.
- Future: The Town stated that Phases 2–4 would require separate Council approval when and if presented.
- Proposed: Additional development described in project materials should not automatically be treated as development that has already received final approval.
This distinction is useful when evaluating both supporters’ and opponents’ descriptions of the project. It separates the governmental actions that have actually occurred from proposed future development that may require additional review.
Related Proposition 410 Information
Perkins Ranch Airfield and Proposition 410
Detailed background on the Perkins Ranch airfield, proposed phases and the zoning change.
Prop 410 and Chino Valley Land Use
Explains the SR-2 to AR-36 zoning change and how it relates to the project.
Prop 410: Potential Impacts on Chino Valley Residents
Examines potential effects involving aircraft activity, noise, traffic, water, wildlife and land use.
Prop 410, Wildlife and Habitat
Regional wildlife and habitat information.
Prop 410: Referendum and Election Information
Official election and referendum information.
What the Prop 410 Zoning Change Means
Proposition 410 asks voters to approve or reject Chino Valley Ordinance 2026-965. The ordinance concerns a zoning change affecting approximately 390 acres of property generally east of the intersection of East Perkinsville Road and Forest Service Road 318A.
The Existing Zoning
Before Ordinance 2026-965, the affected property was zoned SR-2, Single Family Residential, with a 2-acre minimum lot size.
The ordinance changes the zoning to AR-36, Agricultural Residential, with a 36-acre minimum lot size.
What the Ordinance Actually Changes
The ordinance changes the official zoning designation for the approximately 390-acre area. It does not itself constitute approval of every possible use or development that could later be proposed on the property.
Other governmental approvals can apply to particular uses. In this case, the Town separately approved Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 for a privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses on approximately 390 acres.
That distinction is important when evaluating statements about what Proposition 410 does and does not authorize.
Zoning, the Airfield and Future Development Are Different Questions
The public record contains several related but separate governmental actions:
- Ordinance 2026-965: changes the zoning from SR-2 to AR-36.
- Proposition 410: asks voters whether to approve or reject Ordinance 2026-965.
- Conditional Use Permit 2025-05: concerns the proposed privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses.
- Future development proposals: may require additional applications, reviews or approvals depending on the use and applicable Town requirements.
The Town’s election resolution specifically identifies the November 3, 2026, General Election question as whether qualified electors will approve or reject Ordinance 2026-965, identified as Proposition 410.
Why This Distinction Matters
Claims about the Perkins Ranch project should be identified according to what they describe: an existing zoning designation, the zoning change in Ordinance 2026-965, the approved conditional use permit, or a proposed future phase of development.
Keeping those categories separate makes it possible to distinguish documented governmental actions from proposed uses, projections and statements about what may happen in the future.
Prop 410 and the Perkins Ranch Project Timeline
Understanding the sequence of government actions helps put Proposition 410 and the Perkins Ranch proposal in context. The zoning change, the conditional use permit for the airfield, and possible future phases are related, but they are not the same governmental action.
2025: Project Applications
The Town’s public notice identifies two principal applications associated with the proposal:
- ZC-2025-03: a request to change approximately 390 acres from SR-2, with a 2-acre minimum, to AR-36, with a 36-acre minimum.
- CUP-2025-05: a conditional use permit for a privately owned and operated airfield with associated aviation uses.
February 2026: Town Review and Approval
On February 3, 2026, the Planning and Zoning Commission recommended that the airfield proposal move forward to the Town Council for consideration. The Town then held a public hearing on February 23 and Council action followed on February 24.
On February 24, the Town adopted Ordinance 2026-965, changing the zoning for approximately 390 acres from SR-2 to AR-36. The ordinance is the subject of Proposition 410.
The same period also produced Resolution 2026-1303, approving Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 for the privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses. The resolution describes the property as approximately 390 acres and identifies the proposed airfield as part of a larger phased project.
February 2026: Future Phases
The Town subsequently explained that only the initial phase was under consideration at that time. The Town stated that later phases would have to come before the Council separately if and when they were presented.
This distinction is important because project plans can describe future development while individual phases may still require additional governmental review and approval.
November 3, 2026: Proposition 410
The Town’s 2026 election information identifies November 3, 2026, as the General Election date and identifies Proposition 410 as the ballot question concerning Ordinance 2026-965.
Why the Timeline Matters
The public record therefore contains several different stages:
- Project applications were submitted and reviewed.
- The Town considered the proposed zoning change and airfield use.
- Ordinance 2026-965 changed the zoning for approximately 390 acres.
- Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 addressed the proposed privately owned and operated airfield.
- The Town identified later project phases as matters for future consideration if presented.
- Proposition 410 places the zoning ordinance before voters at the November 3, 2026, General Election.
Keeping these events in chronological order helps distinguish what has already occurred, what was approved, what is proposed, and what remains subject to future governmental action.
Prop 410 and the Perkins Ranch Project Timeline
Understanding the sequence of government actions helps put Proposition 410 and the Perkins Ranch proposal in context. The zoning change, the conditional use permit for the airfield, and possible future phases are related, but they are not the same governmental action.
2025: Project Applications
The Town’s public notice identifies two principal applications associated with the proposal:
- ZC-2025-03: a request to change approximately 390 acres from SR-2, with a 2-acre minimum lot size, to AR-36, with a 36-acre minimum lot size.
- CUP-2025-05: a conditional use permit for a privately owned and operated airfield with associated aviation uses.
February 2026: Town Action
On February 24, 2026, the Town adopted Ordinance 2026-965, changing the zoning for approximately 390 acres from SR-2 to AR-36. That ordinance is the subject of Proposition 410.
The Town also adopted Resolution 2026-1303, approving Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 for a privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses. The resolution describes the property as approximately 390 acres and identifies the airfield as part of a larger phased project.
February 2026: Future Phases
The Town stated in February 2026 that the initial phase was under consideration at that time. It also stated that Phases 2 through 4 were planned for the future and that each would require separate Town Council approval if and when presented.
The Town also stated that the proposed CAFMA fire station associated with Phase 2 was not under consideration at that time.
This distinction matters because project materials can describe future development while individual phases may still require additional governmental review and approval.
November 3, 2026: Proposition 410
The Town’s election resolution identifies Proposition 410 as the ballot question asking voters whether to approve or reject Ordinance 2026-965 at the November 3, 2026, General Election.
The ballot question therefore concerns the zoning ordinance. It should not be treated as though it were a separate vote on every possible future component of the broader project.
Why the Timeline Matters
The public record contains several different stages:
- Project applications were submitted and reviewed.
- The Town considered the proposed zoning change and airfield use.
- Ordinance 2026-965 changed the zoning for approximately 390 acres.
- Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 addressed the proposed privately owned and operated airfield.
- The Town identified later project phases as matters for future consideration if presented.
- Proposition 410 places Ordinance 2026-965 before voters on November 3, 2026.
Keeping these events in chronological order helps distinguish what has already occurred, what was approved, what was proposed, and what remains subject to future governmental action.
Related Proposition 410 Information
For more information, see:
- Perkins Ranch Airfield and Proposition 410
- Prop 410 and Chino Valley Land Use
- Prop 410: Potential Impacts on Chino Valley Residents
- Prop 410, Wildlife and Habitat
- Prop 410 Referendum and Election Information
- Prop 410 Rebuttal: Facts and Claims Examined
Understanding the Local Referendum
Proposition 410 is a local referendum concerning a Town of Chino Valley ordinance. Understanding the referendum process helps distinguish the ballot question from the separate development approvals and project proposals discussed elsewhere on this site.
What Is a Referendum?
A referendum allows voters to approve or reject legislation enacted by a local government. Arizona law provides for initiative and referendum concerning legislation of cities, towns and counties.
Arizona law also specifically addresses referendum petitions involving municipal zoning actions.
What Is Being Referred to Chino Valley Voters?
For Proposition 410, the measure placed before voters is Ordinance 2026-965.
That ordinance changed the zoning designation for approximately 390 acres from SR-2 to AR-36.
The referendum therefore concerns the Town’s zoning ordinance. It is not a separate ballot question covering every application, permit, construction phase or future use associated with the Perkins Ranch property.
Why the Ordinance Matters
The zoning designation establishes the applicable zoning classification for the property.
Other proposed uses can involve additional requirements and approvals. In this case, the Town separately addressed the proposed airfield through Conditional Use Permit 2025-05.
The Town’s Resolution 2026-1303 also establishes an important connection between the two actions: the conditional use permit states that it automatically terminates if the AR-36 zoning is reverted to the prior SR-2 classification in accordance with Ordinance 2026-965.
What Voters Are Being Asked to Decide
The referendum question is therefore tied to a specific piece of Town legislation: Ordinance 2026-965.
That makes it useful to distinguish among:
- The referendum: the election question concerning Ordinance 2026-965.
- The zoning ordinance: the change from SR-2 to AR-36.
- The conditional use permit: CUP-2025-05 for the proposed privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses.
- Future project phases: additional proposals or applications that may require separate governmental consideration.
These are related matters, but they should not be described as though they are all the same approval.
Checking the Official Record
For questions about what Proposition 410 actually places before voters, the most reliable starting points are the ordinance itself, the Town’s election documents, the conditional use permit resolution and other official Town records.
Campaign statements, project descriptions, economic projections and commentary can provide additional context, but they should be distinguished from the underlying governmental documents.
Economic Development, Jobs and Revenue Claims
Claims about the economic effects of the Perkins Ranch project should be distinguished from facts established by the Town’s adopted ordinances, resolutions and permits.
Project materials can describe potential economic benefits, employment opportunities and future development. Those descriptions are different from economic results that have already occurred or revenue that has already been received.
Proposed Development and Economic Activity
The Perkins Ranch proposal has been described as a phased project involving an airfield and other potential uses. Depending on the phase and the approvals ultimately obtained, project materials have discussed uses such as aviation facilities, research and development, office space, manufacturing and related commercial or industrial activity.
These descriptions should be identified as proposed or projected development, rather than as existing economic activity.
Jobs
Statements about the number of jobs a project could create are generally projections unless the jobs already exist.
When evaluating a job estimate, useful questions include:
- What specific phase of the project does the estimate concern?
- Is the number based on permanent jobs, temporary construction jobs, or both?
- Are the jobs located on the property or elsewhere?
- What assumptions were used to produce the estimate?
- Has the estimate been independently analyzed or verified?
A projected job total should not automatically be treated as a guaranteed number of future jobs.
Town Revenue
Similar distinctions apply to claims about additional revenue for the Town.
Potential revenue can depend on factors such as the type and scale of development, taxable activity, timing, exemptions, applicable tax rates and whether proposed development actually occurs.
A projection of future revenue is therefore different from revenue already collected by the Town.
The Airfield Versus the Larger Project
Economic claims should also identify which part of the proposal they describe.
The proposed airfield is one component of the Perkins Ranch project. Other development has been discussed as part of later phases.
The Town stated that later phases would require separate Council approval if and when they were presented. Consequently, an economic projection based on a larger future build-out should not automatically be treated as the economic effect of the initial airfield phase alone.
How to Read Economic Claims
When reviewing a statement about jobs, investment, economic growth or Town revenue, ask:
- Is it an existing fact or a projection?
- What phase of the project does it describe?
- What source produced the estimate?
- What assumptions are behind the estimate?
- Does the estimate depend on future approvals or development that has not yet occurred?
This approach does not require accepting or rejecting an economic claim in advance. It allows the underlying evidence, assumptions and governmental record to be considered separately from projections about what may happen in the future.
The Airfield Approval and Proposition 410
The proposed Perkins Ranch airfield and Proposition 410 are connected through the property’s zoning, but they are not the same governmental action.
The Conditional Use Permit
The Town approved Conditional Use Permit 2025-05 through Resolution 2026-1303.
The resolution describes the proposal as a privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses on approximately 390 acres. The property is identified as being generally east of East Perkinsville Road and Forest Service Road 318A.
The conditional use permit is therefore an important document for understanding the proposed airfield.
The Zoning Ordinance
Separately, the Town adopted Ordinance 2026-965, changing the zoning for approximately 390 acres from SR-2 to AR-36.
Proposition 410 places that ordinance before Chino Valley voters.
The referendum should therefore be distinguished from the conditional use permit itself.
How the Two Actions Are Connected
Although the ordinance and conditional use permit are separate governmental actions, they are not completely independent.
Resolution 2026-1303 contains a condition stating that the conditional use permit terminates if the property reverts from AR-36 to its prior SR-2 zoning under Ordinance 2026-965.
That condition establishes a direct relationship between the zoning classification and the conditional use permit.
What the Record Does Not Establish
The existence of an approved conditional use permit does not mean that every possible future component of the broader Perkins Ranch project has already been approved.
Likewise, descriptions of future phases should not be presented as though they were identical to the initial airfield approval.
The Town stated that later phases would require separate Council approval if and when they were presented.
Why This Distinction Matters
When discussing Proposition 410, it is useful to identify exactly which governmental action is being discussed:
- Proposition 410: the referendum concerning Ordinance 2026-965.
- Ordinance 2026-965: the zoning change from SR-2 to AR-36.
- CUP-2025-05: the conditional use permit for the proposed privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses.
- Future phases: additional proposed development subject to future governmental consideration and applicable requirements.
The official documents provide the clearest basis for distinguishing these actions from campaign statements, projections and descriptions of possible future development.
What the Official Documents Say About Rejection of Ordinance 2026-965
The effect of a rejection of Ordinance 2026-965 should be examined through the Town’s official documents rather than through general statements about what might happen to the Perkins Ranch project.
The Ordinance
Ordinance 2026-965 is the zoning map amendment affecting approximately 390 acres. It changes the property’s zoning from SR-2, Single Family Residential, 2-acre minimum, to AR-36, Agricultural Residential, 36-acre minimum. Proposition 410 asks voters whether to approve or reject that ordinance.
The Conditional Use Permit
The Town separately approved CUP-2025-05 for a privately owned and operated airfield and associated uses through Resolution 2026-1303.
That resolution contains a specific condition concerning the relationship between the CUP and Ordinance 2026-965. It states that CUP-2025-05 automatically terminates if the AR-36 zoning on the property is reverted to the prior SR-2 classification in accordance with Ordinance 2026-965.
What This Establishes
The official documents establish a direct connection between the zoning classification and the approved conditional use permit.
They do not, however, provide a basis for making broader assumptions about every possible future use of the property.
Future development phases are a separate matter. The Town stated that Phases 2 through 4 were planned for the future and would require separate Council approval if and when presented.
Why the Exact Wording Matters
There is an important difference between saying:
- the referendum concerns Ordinance 2026-965;
- the ordinance changes the zoning designation;
- the CUP was separately approved; and
- the CUP contains a termination condition tied to reversion of the zoning.
Those are statements that can be checked directly against the official record.
Statements about what a rejection would mean for every possible future use, development phase or project component should be evaluated separately and should not be presented as though they are all expressly decided by the ballot language.
The Official Record
For readers reviewing claims about Proposition 410, the key documents include:
- Ordinance 2026-965 — the approximately 390-acre zoning change.
- Resolution 2026-1303 — approval of CUP-2025-05 and its conditions.
- Resolution 2026-1308 — placing Proposition 410 on the November 3, 2026, General Election ballot.
Together, these documents provide the primary governmental record for understanding the relationship between the referendum, the zoning change and the airfield conditional use permit.